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20120901
20120930
Search Results 0 to 10 of about 11 (some duplicates have been removed)
dick morris a side on his website, most pollsters are weighing their dat toont assumption that the twift electorate will turn out in the same proportion as the 2008 voters did but polling indicates a distant lack of enthusiasm for the president among his core constituency. so let's talk about that cnn contributor will cane ling is right and roland martin is here. why -- are you lafgt samuel l. jackson? >> oh, my gosh, sam is the man. first of all if you don't follow him on twitter, you need to.>> . first of all if you don't follow him on twitter, you need to. some people will say, oh, my god, it's the language. guess how much money r-rated films make all the time and we know his rants in "pulp fiction" and "shaft" as well w why not have shaft get people excited about voting? way to go sam. >> give me your critique of samuel l. jackson's ad? >> my film critique. rolling on a three-second delay here? i do get the same liberties that samuel l. jackson takes? >> no. >> try it. try it. >> no. >> should i try it? no. whatever. it's fine. i mean, it's funny. i think we take polit
to it. >> dick morris is saying, yeah, president obama maybe leading among minorities and young people but those people traditionally don't get out to vote and really not that excited about president obama anyway. so is dick morris right, will? >> dick morris has a point. first of all, i hate talking about polls and i know roland does as well, because a, i hate the idea that politicians are constantly checking polls and adjusting their message. b, i hate trying to interpret these things as though i have a crystal ball. i know this, carl, a lot of the polls coming out, heard the topic du jour this week, some think the main street polls are skewed because what they're showing is a larger democratic turnout than the historic democratic turnout in 2008. in 2008, on the cusp of an historic election, first black president to, you know, about to be elected, you had an amazing turnout among minorities and youth vote. what the polls today are showing, projecting a larger turnout than that, a little bit of a stretch, a little harder to stomach in a downed economy, so i'm very skeptical you will
. he is headed to florida. does he have a hidden agenda though? we will find out. dick morris at the top of the hour. he has met them a time or two. of 10 inch hose clamp pliers. you know what's complicated? shipping. shipping's complicated. not really. with priority mail flat rate boxes from the postal service shipping's easy. if it fits, it ships anywhere in the country for a low flat rate. that's not complicated. no. come on. how about... a handshake. alright. priority mail flat rate boxes. starting at just $5.15. only from the postal service. >> welcome back a federal judge upholding controversial show me your papers law this week. some immigrants in the state says the law makes them afraid they will be subjected to racial profiling, listen. >> just because people don't see families being separated doesn't mean it's not an issue. it a big issue. >> a lot of students are graduating from high school and they are trying to drive, trying to go to work and they can't even do that why? because they are going to be scared to even get arrested. >> critics also say ebb -- enforcing
you think dick morris is right? he says latinos increased their share by 1.5%. he says if you use that same model for this election and assume you will have the same turnouts from blacks, latinos and young kids, you will be off in your results. >> we just don't know the answer. that is, if all groups are depressed in their turnout as seems likely. the black or latino share will be about the same. young people probably will go down. they are showing less interests. but we can't say with specificity what dick is asserting. megyn: what are you supposed to do? >> both of us -- political pollsters screen and likeliness to vote, interest, intensity and where you are. we have in 2004 a split country. we had about an 8-point advantage for democrats in 2000. i can't imagine it being as good or better. if it is, republicans are going down across the board. >> we try to use a variety of different scenarios. even party, slight democratic advantage. bigger democratic advantage then look at differen different altes and advice accordingly. megyn: is there a finger on the poll? there was a hit pi
pollsters. doug schoen is the former advisor to bill clinton. dick morris who was once president clinton's pollster. but he's not a fan of the clintons anymore. but he writes this long piece talking about how the republicans are getting depressed under an after land much of polling that shows president obama ahead but she you shouldn't be because the pollsters are using a variance of the 2008 polling model that he says overstates the likelihood of success. >> it could. the truth is we don't know what the turnouts of democrats and republicans will be. but would i say this. dick it right in so far as most of the media polls are using -- are optimistic for the democratic party. as a professional pollster you try to be as cautious as possible in advising your clients. but most of the polls getting released are giving president obama the benefit of the doubt. megyn: why would they do that? if it says it's -- i don't understand why any pollster would want anything hotter than the most accurate results. >> what accurate is is often open to debate. the dirty little secret of polling is with cell
about that. washington dc going to the dogings. dick morris is here to explain. >> brian: first happy birthday to aerosmith guitarist. he's 62. ♪ ♪ it doesn't get any better than endless shrimp at red lobster. you can mix and match all day! [ male announcer ] red lobster's endless shrimp is back... but only foa limited time! try as much as you like, any way you like! like parmesan crusted simp just $14.99. i'm ryaisabell and i sea fd differently. for the spender who needs a little help saving. for adding "& sons." for the dreamer, planning an early escape. for the mother of the bride. for whoever you are, for whatever you're trying to achieve, pnc has technology, guidance, and over 150 years of experience to help you get there. ♪ so let's talk about coverage. based on this chart, who would you choose ? wow. you guys take a minute. verizon, hands down. i'm going to show you guys another chart. pretty obvious. i don't think color matters. pretty obvious. what's pretty obvious about it ? that verizon has the coverage. verizon. verizon. we're going to go to another chart. it doesn't
again. dick morris with a brand new column up saying the wind is at romney's back. he will win unless there is a catastrophe. if you hear that and digest that day after day, it is going to be uncomfortable on election night. >> john: i think eric, that explains the falsehoods in paul ryan's speech. so many people were shocked the v.p. nominee could tell so many easily disproved lies in his speech. i think it's because the man is used to living in the bubble and speaking to audiences that won't fact check him. >> that's a good point. people were taken back since when do vice presidential candidates at the convention just sort of make stuff up? >> john: i think it was established in 2008. >> she really said -- the president was the bridge to nowhere, i think. paul ryan just followed it up with the g.m. plant closing. completely unforced air. didn't have to make it. i think there's something to it. he's been telling this lie about that plant closing for so long to either republican audiences or republican talk shows or o
if that is economically what about the polls that has the president winning in small margin. dick morris answered that question. >> people need to understand that the polling is the worst it has ever been. this is the first election if i tell you who is going to vote, i can tell you how they are going to vote. black or latino or college kid or single mother, i will tell you how you can vote and over 65 or a man or married white womi am be right two out of three times. this is the issue who is going to vote. polling is good at saying how. but bad at saying who will vote. and the models they are using are crazy. they assume a democratic edge of 6-sevenpoints >> chris: that's the key. if they are using the metric where there are six or sevenmore percent they tend to win the poles. they are taking rasmussen metric and they and pew were closest to being right. and they analyzed the data and according to these folks, mitt romney has 5-11 percent in all of the other polls. ing interesting. >> gretchen: if you are conducting polls why not split it 50-50. why would you skew it. >> steve: rasmussen figured
Search Results 0 to 10 of about 11 (some duplicates have been removed)